Why the Cash for Clunker Bill will continue to expand
The funding for this bill will grow and grow and grow. Why? Because EVERYONE stands to gain on this with no obvious victim. To wit:
- People and Businesses replacing older cars get free money (up to $4500!)
- Car Dealers see an increase in current sales (at the expense of future sales, but who cares about that right now)
- The Main Stream Media sees an increase in advertising revenue from manufacturers and dealers (The Auto business is one of the top ad categories)
- Politicians get a chance to give the “People” Free Money and collect votes
- Auto Unions see the Government doing “something” to help them
So what’s not to love?
Well, let’s see………..
- it’s not the role of the Federal Government to reapportion taxpayer money to fund a SINGLE taxpayer’s discretionary purchases. And yes, a new car is discretionary.
- People who previously bought more fuel efficient vehicles and who wish to replace them get no incentive. Only those who bought worse fuel economy vehicles stand to benefit. I hope you didn’t “go green” too long ago!
- DESTROYING the “clunkers” puts increased pricing pressure on older, cheaper vehicles for those who may only be able to only afford a used car.
- DESTROYING the clunkers is not very green, since the cars may have plenty of useful service life (the trade in vehicle may be only a year old!) and can contribute as parts cars for the used market.
- And finally – REPLACING a clunker is not the most efficient use of financial resources…follow the math…
You have a Used car that is fully paid off. Lets say it gets 10 miles per gallon. You decide to buy a new car that gets 30 miles per gallon. You drive 15,000 miles per year. We will also assume gas costs $2.50 per gallon. We’ll say it costs $1000 per year to maintain the clunker and $100 a year for the new car. Insurance on the clunker is $400 and $800 on the new car. Well say the new car costs $20,000, and we’ll assume you pay straight cash for it.
Scenario 1 – Keep the Used Car (costs over 5 years)
Fuel cost = $18750
Maintainance Costs = $5000
Insurance = $2000
5 year cost of ownership = $25,750
Scenario 2 – Buy New Car and replace Clunker
Fuel Cost = $6250
Maintainance Costs = $500
Insurance = $4000
Car Cost = $20,000
5 year cost of ownership = $30,750
USED CAR WINS by $5000. And we used a really unfavorable mpg comparison that was skewed strongly to the New car.
This example does not account for time value of money, and it does not even account for the interest payments that most people would pay financing the car. Nor do I even bother to calculate the sales tax or ad valorem taxes that would be due on the new car.
So NORMALLY it would be in a person’s best financial interest to keep the Used Car. So what are we doing? We’re giving people up to $4500 to offset what the MARKET should be doing on its own. All on your dime.
It truly makes you a sucker if you DON”T go out and buy a car…so sad…..
